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i24NEWS
@i24news · 17小时前

赫尔佐格警告内塔尼亚胡:定居者暴力或致内战

以色列总统赫尔佐格致信内塔尼亚胡及高级官员,谴责约旦河西岸定居者暴力为“道德耻辱”,并呼吁采取更强硬措施防止局势升级。

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盘口解读AI 估计 · 非真实赔率
为什么是 37%

总统呼吁具道义压力但无行政权,联合政府依赖定居者党派支持,历史上强硬措施落地概率偏低,故给约三成七。

怎么算赢

以以色列政府官方公告或路透社、美联社等主流媒体在截止日前的报道为准,需明确提及内阁或议会通过的新措施。

题材 · 截止

热点 · 结算 2027-02-05

概率走势
33%37%40%当前 37%

President Isaac Herzog has sent letters to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Defense Minister Israel Katz, Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir, and Attorney General Gali Baharav-Miara warning of a coming civil war, according to a report by Channel 12 on Wednesday.

Ten arrested in West Bank settler attacks following assault on WAPO journalist, EU diplomatsHerzog sent the letter after he held meetings with commanders, soldiers, and police officers in the West Bank, during which he heard about the increase in settler violence and nationalist terrorism.

"In the West Bank, a man will do what is right in his own eyes," Herzog wrote in his letter, referencing Judges 17:6: 'In those days Israel had no king; everyone did as they saw fit.'

"The soldiers find themselves facing ethical and operational dilemmas that could lead to civil war," he continued. "With elections in the United States, Israel and the Palestinian Authority, as well as the harvest season, there is a convergence of theatres that makes the situation particularly dangerous and explosive."

Herzog directly condemned Jewish nationalist violence as a "moral disgrace and stain on us."

"This is organized criminal activity - organized crime in every sense of the word," added Herzog. "There is no place for this lawlessness."

He called for "widespread and administrative detention" to "eradicate the phenomenon."

Herzog warned that if this issue is not resolved, Israel will face disaster and civil war.

评论 · 3
C
Caleb30分钟前

我没那么确定,现在市场波动太大了。

L
Liam2小时前

盘口已经反应得差不多了,进场性价比不高。

S
Sofia3小时前

新闻里第 3 点才是关键,市场好像还没充分定价。

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