截至2026年12月31日，爱尔兰政府是否会公布2026年全年税收总额超过900亿欧元？
前10个月已达850亿欧元，若11-12月延续往年季节性收入，全年有望突破900亿，但增速与支出压力带来不确定性，故概率略高于五成。
最新国库数据显示，爱尔兰今年前10个月税收强劲，创下850亿欧元的纪录水平，同时政府支出继续上升。
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The Government collected a record €85 billion in tax in the 10 months to October but spending continues to rise at a worrying rate.
The latest exchequer returns, published by the Department of Finance, showed total tax revenue stood at €84.9 billion at the end of last month.
When receipts from the Apple tax case are stripped out, the total was €7.9 billion or 10.3 per cent ahead of the same time last year.
The strong performance was led by income tax, which generated €31 billion for the 10-month period, 8.4 per cent up on last year, reflecting the high level of employment.
Government coffers were also buoyed by strong corporate tax receipts, which took in €23.9 billion, 23.4 per cent ahead of last year.
The concentration of corporate tax receipts around a small number of US multinationals remains a significant risk for the exchequer.
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In 2025, just three firms – Apple, Microsoft and Eli Lilly – accounted for 46 per cent of receipts from the business tax.
October is not a VAT-due month and only “modest” receipts were collected during the month, but on a cumulative basis, the sales tax generated €20.5 billion, 7.3 per cent up on the 2025 total at this stage.
Total gross voted expenditure to the end of October amounted to €93.6 billion, which was 7.4 per cent up on last year.
我没那么确定，现在市场波动太大了。
盘口已经反应得差不多了，进场性价比不高。
新闻里第 3 点才是关键，市场好像还没充分定价。