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Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

概率走势· 实时
10%17%23%December 31, 2026 24%October 31, 2026 19%September 30, 2026 6%
24h $370,592结算 2027-01-01
热点$2.1M· 1月1日

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

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TL;DR· AI 摘要
  • •German Chancellor Friedrich Merz is facing a "crisis of authority and leadership" as immigration concerns fuel a far-right rise.
  • •Berlin — German leader Friedrich Merz's position is under threat as the far-right surges in popularity and support for his own center-right party tanks. The situation is so serious that he canceled a
  • •市场观点：December 31, 2026 23%
证据 · 新闻CBS News · 前天
Germany's leader under huge pressure as far-right AfD gains steam, but could he be forced out?

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz is facing a "crisis of authority and leadership" as immigration concerns fuel a far-right rise.

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评论 · 3
C
Caleb30分钟前

我没那么确定，现在市场波动太大了。

L
Liam2小时前

盘口已经反应得差不多了，进场性价比不高。

S
Sofia3小时前

新闻里第 3 点才是关键，市场好像还没充分定价。

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