政治 · AI 估计 · 非真实赔率
Iran leader end of 2026?
概率走势· 实时
23%44%65%Mojtaba Khamenei 85%Reza Pahlavi 3%No Head of State 3%Alireza Arafi 2%
24h $127,629结算 2026-12-31
Mojtaba Khamenei
Reza Pahlavi
No Head of State
Alireza Arafi
热点$37.7M· 12月31日
Iran leader end of 2026?
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
市价撮合
金额
分
合计100 分
押对可得💵 118 分
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TL;DR· AI 摘要
- •US leader claims pact will fully reopen Hormuz, 'end' Iran’s nuclear threat; Tehran had threatened response to planned attack, warning Israeli gas fields would be 'burned to ashes'
- •US President Donald Trump said late Saturday that he had called off a major attack on Iran after being assured by Tehran and other Middle East countries that a framework for a deal to fully reopen the
- •市场观点：Mojtaba Khamenei 85%
证据 · 新闻The Times of Israel · 3天前
Trump says he and Israel have called off Iran attack after being assured deal is imminent
US leader claims pact will fully reopen Hormuz, 'end' Iran’s nuclear threat; Tehran had threatened response to planned attack, warning Israeli gas fields would be 'burned to ashes'
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评论 · 3
C
Caleb30分钟前
我没那么确定，现在市场波动太大了。
L
Liam2小时前
盘口已经反应得差不多了，进场性价比不高。
S
Sofia3小时前
新闻里第 3 点才是关键，市场好像还没充分定价。
评论与发帖将在 M2 接入真实账户后开放