🔥 市场

📊 Polymarket政治2026-09-20

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)
×1100%
New People (NL)
×1000%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
×1000%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
×1000%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-09-20 · 📊 24h $10.9M
📊 Polymarket政治2026-09-20

United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

355+
×1.189%
340–354
×11.59%
325–339
×76.91%
310–324
×1001%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-09-20 · 📊 24h $688K
📊 Polymarket政治2028-11-07

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
×5.418%
Jon Ossoff
×5.817%
Gavin Newsom
×6.416%
Kamala Harris
×11.29%
💰 流动性 真实市场2028-11-07 · 📊 24h $653K
📊 Polymarket政治2026-10-31

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

September 20
×1100%
September 25
×1.193%
September 30
×1.284%
October 31
×1.954%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-10-31 · 📊 24h $597K
📊 Polymarket政治2026-09-20

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

59-62%
×197%
62%+
×55.62%
56-59%
×1001%
53-56%
×1000%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-09-20 · 📊 24h $592K
📊 Polymarket政治2026-10-28

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase
×1.954%
No change
×2.245%
50+ bps increase
×1001%
25 bps decrease
×1001%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-10-28 · 📊 24h $583K
📊 Polymarket政治2026-09-20

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

United Russia (ER)
×1100%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
×1000%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
×1000%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
×1000%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-09-20 · 📊 24h $499K
📊 Polymarket政治2027-01-01

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31
×29.93%
September 30
×1000%
💰 流动性 真实市场2027-01-01 · 📊 24h $393K
📊 Polymarket政治2027-01-01

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 2026
×4.423%
October 31, 2026
×5.718%
September 30, 2026
×166%
💰 流动性 真实市场2027-01-01 · 📊 24h $371K
📊 Polymarket政治2026-12-31

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

October 31
×1100%
December 31
×1100%
September 30
×1100%
September 24
×199%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-12-31 · 📊 24h $340K
📊 Polymarket政治2026-09-21

Elon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?

40-64
×1.195%
65-89
×18.26%
90-114
×1000%
115-139
×1000%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-09-21 · 📊 24h $315K
📊 Polymarket政治2026-12-31

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro
×1.760%
Delcy Rodríguez
×2.639%
No Head of State
×1001%
Edmundo González
×1000%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-12-31 · 📊 24h $309K
📊 Polymarket政治2026-10-04

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro
×1.759%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
×2.541%
Renan Santos
×1001%
Jair Bolsonaro
×1000%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-10-04 · 📊 24h $267K
📊 Polymarket政治2026-09-22

Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?

180-199
×2.246%
200-219
×2.344%
220-239
×15.47%
160-179
×38.53%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-09-22 · 📊 24h $267K
📊 Polymarket政治2027-01-01

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 31
×1.662%
October 31
×2.738%
September 30
×9.511%
September 21
×1001%
💰 流动性 真实市场2027-01-01 · 📊 24h $263K
📊 Polymarket政治 3% 近24h

Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?

98%
买 会发生×198%
买 不会×60.62%
💰 流动性 真实市场2027-10-01 · 📊 24h $239K
📊 Polymarket政治2026-12-31

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot
×1.953%
Benjamin Netanyahu
×3.430%
Naftali Bennett
×11.89%
Avigdor Lieberman
×23.34%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-12-31 · 📊 24h $203K
📊 Polymarket政治2026-10-01

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

October 31
×1.377%
September 30
×3.232%
September 22
×22.25%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-10-01 · 📊 24h $202K
📊 Polymarket政治2027-01-01

Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?

December 31
×198%
September 25
×1.194%
September 23
×1.188%
💰 流动性 真实市场2027-01-01 · 📊 24h $184K
📊 Polymarket政治 2% 近24h

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%
买 不会×1.284%
买 会发生×6.117%
💰 流动性 真实市场2027-01-01 · 📊 24h $163K
🤖 AI 盘口政治 2% 近24h

截至2026年12月20日,中菲两国是否会在南海再次发生官方承认的船只碰撞或对峙事件?

72%
买 会发生×1.472%
买 不会×3.628%
💰 流动性 500 分2026-12-20
🤖 AI 盘口政治 0% 近24h

截至2026年12月19日,特朗普政府是否已公开回应伊朗提出的停战条件(即美方是否发表官方声明或由总统、国务卿等高级官员公开表态接受、拒绝或就这些条件进行谈判)?

37%
买 会发生×2.737%
买 不会×1.663%
💰 流动性 500 分2026-12-19
🤖 AI 盘口政治 7% 近24h

截至2026年12月31日,丹麦政府或格陵兰自治政府是否公开确认与美国达成一项赋予美方格陵兰安全事务控制权并禁止外国敌对势力设基地的正式协议?

17%
买 会发生×5.917%
买 不会×1.283%
💰 流动性 500 分2026-12-31