🔥 市场

📊 Polymarket政治2028-11-08

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Jon Ossoff
×3.727%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
×5.319%
Gavin Newsom
×8.412%
Kamala Harris
×19.65%
💰 流动性 真实市场2028-11-08 · 📊 24h $2.3M
📊 Polymarket政治2028-11-08

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance
×2.935%
Marco Rubio
×4.622%
Ron DeSantis
×8.512%
Tucker Carlson
×29.93%
💰 流动性 真实市场2028-11-08 · 📊 24h $2.2M
📊 Polymarket政治2028-11-08

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Jon Ossoff
×4.821%
JD Vance
×5.219%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
×8.212%
Marco Rubio
×10.99%
💰 流动性 真实市场2028-11-08 · 📊 24h $2.2M
📊 Polymarket政治2026-12-10

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase
×1.567%
No change
×3.232%
25 bps decrease
×76.91%
50+ bps increase
×1001%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-12-10 · 📊 24h $1.8M
📊 Polymarket政治2026-11-04

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola (D)
×197%
Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)
×34.53%
Ann Diener
×1000%
Dustin Darden
×1000%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-11-04 · 📊 24h $1.2M
📊 Polymarket政治2026-11-04

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Scott Colom (D)
×197%
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)
×30.83%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-11-04 · 📊 24h $982K
📊 Polymarket政治2027-01-01

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 31
×1100%
November 2
×1100%
💰 流动性 真实市场2027-01-01 · 📊 24h $981K
📊 Polymarket政治2027-04-19

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen
×2.442%
David Lisnard
×6.216%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
×813%
Édouard Philippe
×8.712%
💰 流动性 真实市场2027-04-19 · 📊 24h $835K
📊 Polymarket政治2026-12-31

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

November 4
×1100%
November 3
×1100%
November 2
×1100%
November 5
×199%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-12-31 · 📊 24h $809K
📊 Polymarket政治2026-10-28

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot
×1.855%
Benjamin Netanyahu
×3.330%
Avigdor Lieberman
×195%
Naftali Bennett
×30.83%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-10-28 · 📊 24h $699K
📊 Polymarket政治2026-11-03

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

None
×197%
AK
×32.83%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-11-03 · 📊 24h $693K
📊 Polymarket政治2026-11-06

Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?

280-299
×250%
300-319
×3.827%
260-279
×911%
320-339
×11.89%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-11-06 · 📊 24h $644K
📊 Polymarket政治2027-01-01

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

November 5
×197%
November 6
×1.191%
November 8
×1.285%
November 15
×1.757%
💰 流动性 真实市场2027-01-01 · 📊 24h $460K
📊 Polymarket政治2027-01-01

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31
×1.471%
December 31
×2.344%
November 30
×425%
November 15
×8.712%
💰 流动性 真实市场2027-01-01 · 📊 24h $460K
📊 Polymarket政治↗ 3% 近24h

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

2%
买 不会×198%
买 会发生×42.62%
💰 流动性 真实市场2027-01-01 · 📊 24h $399K
📊 Polymarket政治↘ 2% 近24h

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

13%
买 不会×1.188%
买 会发生×813%
💰 流动性 真实市场2027-01-01 · 📊 24h $370K
📊 Polymarket政治↘ 3% 近24h

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

50%
买 不会×251%
买 会发生×250%
💰 流动性 真实市场2027-01-01 · 📊 24h $360K
📊 Polymarket政治↘ 2% 近24h

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%
买 不会×196%
买 会发生×264%
💰 流动性 真实市场2027-01-01 · 📊 24h $305K
📊 Polymarket政治2026-11-04

NC-03 House Election Winner

Raymond Smith Jr. (D)
×1.473%
Greg Murphy (R)
×3.628%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-11-04 · 📊 24h $276K
📊 Polymarket政治↘ 4% 近24h

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

11%
买 不会×1.190%
买 会发生×9.511%
💰 流动性 真实市场2027-01-01 · 📊 24h $269K
📊 Polymarket政治2026-11-10

Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026?

220-239
×6.316%
240-259
×6.915%
200-219
×813%
260-279
×8.312%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-11-10 · 📊 24h $268K
📊 Polymarket政治↗ 3% 近24h

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

2%
买 不会×198%
买 会发生×64.52%
💰 流动性 真实市场2026-11-04 · 📊 24h $253K
🤖 AI 盘口政治↗ 9% 近24h

截至2026年11月12日,白宫或梅拉尼娅·特朗普办公室是否公开确认2026年11月5日俄乌代表在白宫与梅拉尼娅会面并发表奥莱什基周边停火讲话?

87%
买 会发生×1.187%
买 不会×7.713%
💰 流动性 500 分2026-11-12