政治 · AI 估计 · 非真实赔率

截至2026年12月18日,丹麦政府或官方代表是否公开确认已与美国达成协议,将格陵兰的控制权或主权移交给美国?

概率走势
4%6%7%当前 3%
结算 2026-12-18以丹麦首相办公室、丹麦外交部或格陵兰自治政府的官方声明,或路透社、美联社、BBC等主流媒体的确认报道为准;仅有特朗普单方面声称不算确认。
热点· 12月18日

截至2026年12月18日,丹麦政府或官方代表是否公开确认已与美国达成协议,将格陵兰的控制权或主权移交给美国?

市价撮合
金额
合计100
押对可得💵 3333
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盘口解读AI 估计 · 非真实赔率
为什么是 3%

丹麦与格陵兰当局多次明确拒绝出售或移交格陵兰,主权变更需经复杂政治与法律程序,短期内几乎不可能发生。

证据 · 新闻CP24 · 前天
特朗普称丹麦将格陵兰控制权交给美国

特朗普声称丹麦已同意让美国获得格陵兰的控制权,此举发生在他多次表达希望美国吞并或购买格陵兰的背景下。

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WASHINGTON - The United States, Denmark and Greenland have entered into an agreement that will see the U.S. develop a significant military presence on the island, while prohibiting U.S. adversaries from building their own bases there, Donald Trump said on Friday.

In a Truth Social post, the U.S. president wrote that no U.S. enemies would be able to make sensitive investments on the island without the approval of the United States and that the agreement had no expiry date.

“At my direction, we worked with representatives of Denmark and Greenland to guarantee that the United States will FOREVER have the complete ability to do what is necessary in Greenland in order to secure and defend the security of Greenland, and the United States of America,” Trump wrote.

Earlier on Friday, Reuters exclusively reported that the U.S. and Greenland were closing in on a deal that would result in an increased U.S. military presence, but would stop well short of Trump’s long-held dream of acquiring the island for the United States.

Trump’s Friday announcement suggests he was nonetheless pleased with the outcome of the negotiations, and that he may not revive his territorial claims, at least in the near future. He said, without elaborating, that the U.S. would soon be rolling out a large military presence on the island, which already hosts one Space Force base in its remote northwest.

“This is a dream come true for the United States of America,” Trump wrote.

The Danish prime minister’s office said on Friday that the agreement would strengthen North Atlantic and Arctic security.

However, tensions between Denmark and the United States are still high.

Just a few weeks ago, Canadian forces aboard the HMCS Robert Hampton Gray joined the Danish military for exercises off the coast of Greenland.

The U.S. usually participates in these exercises, but Cmdr. Brian Henwood, the commanding officer of HMCS Robert Hampton Gray, told CTV News the Americans weren’t invited this year.

评论 · 3
C
Caleb30分钟前

我没那么确定,现在市场波动太大了。

L
Liam2小时前

盘口已经反应得差不多了,进场性价比不高。

S
Sofia3小时前

新闻里第 3 点才是关键,市场好像还没充分定价。

评论与发帖将在 M2 接入真实账户后开放