比特币挖矿难度较今年高点降14%,收入下滑迫使矿工转型

由于挖矿收入下降,比特币挖矿难度较今年高点下降14%,产能减少,远期市场显示年底前难有缓解。
查看原文 ↗当前难度已因收入下降而降低,但历史波动大,且矿工可能调整策略,进一步下降概率略低于50%。
以BTC.com或Blockchain.com公布的难度数据为准,比较2026-08-01与2026-12-31的难度值。
加密 · 结算 2026-12-31
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The metric, which measures how difficult it is to mine a Bitcoin block, is now at 126.23 trillion after falling 0.74%, about 1.1% below the 127.62 trillion reached a year earlier and 19.1% from the 155.97 trillion all-time high seen in November 2025.
Difficulty adjusts every 2,016 blocks, or roughly every two weeks, to keep Bitcoin’s average block time near 10 minutes. Falling difficulty indicates that less computing power was competing during the previous adjustment period, while reducing competition for miners that remain online.
The metric has dropped about 14% from its January peak, reached this year, following declines of 10% in June and 5% earlier in July, according to network data.
The only previous year-over-year decline was after China’s 2021 mining ban, which temporarily removed roughly half of the network’s computing power. Difficulty recovered as miners relocated to other regions.
This time around, the plunge is more mining economics-based.
Luxor’s Hashrate Index attributed it to falling bitcoin prices, compressed mining revenue and the diversion of capital, power and operators toward AI and high-performance computing infrastructure.
Curtailments in Texas and disruptions in other mining regions also contributed.
The adjustment has provided limited relief. Hashprice, which measures expected miner revenue for each unit of computing power, fell to $27.66 per petahash per day in late June, within one cent of its February low, according to Hashrate Index. Hashprice has since risen to $31.7.
Luxor’s forward market prices an average hashprice of $31.85 per petahash per day through December. That is only modestly above recent spot levels, suggesting miners expect little revenue recovery for the remainder of 2026.
我没那么确定,现在市场波动太大了。
盘口已经反应得差不多了,进场性价比不高。
新闻里第 3 点才是关键,市场好像还没充分定价。