研究：抑郁症到2050年或使摩洛哥损失超210亿美元
一项新国际研究预测，到2050年抑郁症可能给摩洛哥造成超过210亿美元的经济损失，主要源于劳动力参与率下降和生产力降低。
查看原文 ↗该预测基于当前模型，但未来经济变量和心理健康政策可能改变损失，故概率略高于50%。
以世界银行、国际货币基金组织或摩洛哥官方发布的宏观经济数据为准，若实际损失超过210亿美元则判定为是。
财经 · 结算 2050-12-31
Home > Morocco > Depression Could Cost Morocco More Than $21 Billion by 2050
Depression rate in Morocco
Rabat – Depression could cost Morocco more than $21 billion (around MAD 191 billion) by 2050, according to a new international study, with most of the economic losses expected to come from lower workforce participation and reduced productivity rather than healthcare spending.
Published in the scientific journal Nature Medicine, the study examined the economic impact of depression across 154 countries and estimated that Morocco could lose $21.23 billion (MAD 191 billion) between 2025 and 2050, based on 2024 dollar values.
The researchers note that the estimate comes with some uncertainty.
Depending on the assumptions used in the analysis, Morocco’s cumulative losses could range from $16.47 billion to $27.25 billion (MAD 148 billion to MAD 245 billion) over the 25-year period.
According to the study, the burden would amount to an average of 0.504% of Morocco’s gross domestic product (GDP) during the period examined.
On an individual level, the cumulative economic cost is estimated at $493 (MAD 4,440) per person between 2025 and 2050.
The researchers emphasize that this figure represents the total cost over 25 years, not an annual loss for every Moroccan.
Rather than focusing only on healthcare expenses, the study evaluated how depression affects the economy through reduced labor force participation, absenteeism, lower workplace productivity, and slower career progression.
我没那么确定，现在市场波动太大了。
盘口已经反应得差不多了，进场性价比不高。
新闻里第 3 点才是关键，市场好像还没充分定价。